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Diamondbacks Face Tough Choices with Gallen and Kelly
The Arizona Diamondbacks find themselves at a crossroads regarding two crucial figures in their pitching staff, Zac Gallen and Merrill Kelly. Manager Torey Lovullo has openly addressed the uphill battle to re-sign these talented right-handers, both of whom are entering free agency amidst uncertain market conditions.
The Breakdown: Gallen and Kelly's Performance History
Zac Gallen, once a star with a bright future, has experienced a significant decline since his impressive 2022 season, where he posted a 2.54 ERA. By 2025, he finished with a disappointing 4.83 ERA, despite showing glimpses of his former self during the last weeks of the season. His decision to decline the qualifying offer and pursue free agency positions him as one of the most sought-after pitchers after a challenging year.
Merrill Kelly, on the other hand, had a strong start to the 2025 season with a 3.22 ERA. However, his performance dipped after being traded to the Texas Rangers, ending with a 4.23 ERA in Texas. At 37, Kelly presents a different type of risk. While his experience and consistent performance make him a valuable asset, there are lingering injuries to consider as he nears the twilight of his career.
Salary Considerations: Balancing Budget and Talent
Lovullo’s comments reflect the realities of the team’s budget constraints as they navigate the upcoming offseason. Gallen's anticipated market value, expected to hover around the $20 million mark per season, represents a hefty investment. The Diamondbacks' payroll is projected to decrease after a record-high $188 million last year, forcing them to reassess their priorities in terms of pitching depth versus financial commitment.
Kelly, who likely demands a far lower contract and fewer years, offers a safer pairing in the rotation and could provide essential depth as the team anticipates the return of injured pitchers, including Corbin Burnes. This scenario raises the question: Should the Diamondbacks take a risk on Gallen's high upside or evaluate Kelly’s proven reliability and affordability?
Future Direction: A Critical Offseason Ahead
As the Diamondbacks strategize their moves following a strong postseason showing in 2023, the absence of either pitcher could significantly impact the team. Lovullo remains optimistic about retaining one or both, declaring, “Who knows where that’s going to go.” But in a competitive market increasingly focusing on starting pitching, Arizona must act swiftly and decisively.
The upcoming months will test the Diamondbacks' ability to adapt and assemble a competitive rotation as they weigh the options between high-risk, high-reward against seasoned stability—a decision that could shape their future in the coming seasons.
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